Which school years are most likely to be repeated?

Answer

Based on data for the past five years, the table below looks at which school years are most likely to be repeated.

Repeat Years by Educational Level
Level Years Analysed Repeats Percent Index   Boys Index

Girls Index

P1 28 3 10.7% 105   107 101
P2 25 1 4.0% 39   60 0
P3 34 10 29.4% 288   320 233
P4 27 4 14.8% 145   64 253
P5 21 5 23.8% 233   240 202
P6 21 0 0.0% 0   0 0
P7 21 0 0.0% 0   0 0
S1 17 0 0.0% 0   0 0
S2 13 0 0.0% 0   0 0
S3 16 1 6.3% 61   0 112
S4 10 1 10.0% 98   0 144
S5 5 0 0.0% 0   0 0
S6 5 0 0.0% 0   0 0
Absent 2 0 0.0% 0   0 0
All 245 25 10.2% 100   100 100

Index values show how likely each school year was to be repeated - with index 100 representing the average rate.
Years scoring over 100 have above average repeat rates  (200 = twice the average). 
Years scoring under 100 have below average rates  (50 = half the average).

Repeat rates are highest in P3-P5.  Allowing for the small sample sizes, the pattern is the same for girls and boys. 

There is  a secondary peak in S3 & S4.  So far, only girls have had to repeat these year — even though only slightly more girls than boys have reached that stage.